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ves dans leurs choix de financement. D'où cet effet boule de neige : la crise financière contribue à un violent coup de frein économique, lequel se traduit par des faillites d'entreprises, des réductions d'emplois, des restrictions de débouchés. Du coup, un certain nombre de clients des banques se retrouvent en difficulté,Chemisier burberry, ce qui multiplie les créances compromises de celles-ci. Nous sommes dans ce cycle de spirale vers le bas pour toute l'activité, financière et réelle. Pour quelles raisons les « plans de relance » n'enrayent-ils pas le cercle vicieux de la crise ? [*Denis Durand.*] Il est trop tôt pour mesurer les effets de ces plans, auxquels d'autres succéderont sûrement. Les mesures de soutien à la demande ou à l'investissement n'ont pas d'effets instantanés. En fait, deux scénarios sont possibles. Celui de l'effondrement total, avec une activité à l'arrêt, des banques en difficulté coupant les robinets du crédit, des effondrements boursiers et des conséquences incalculables sur le marché des changes. L'autre scénario serait celui d'un redressement temporaire de la conjoncture à l'horizon 2010 ou 2011 grâce aux plans de relance. Il y a là une grande incertitude. Mais supposons que ces plans marchent. Les problèmes ne seraient pas résolus pour autant. On n'aura pas touché à la dictature des marchés financiers, à la recherche de rentabilité à tout prix. Les causes profondes de la crise demeureraient. Que penser du contre-plan de relance présenté par le Parti socialiste ? [*Denis Durand.*] Conditionner les baisses de cotisations sociales patronales à la conclusion d'accords salariaux est très insuffisant. C'est une vague incitation à des négociations salariales, qui ne touche pas au pouvoir dans l'entreprise, aujourd'hui subordonné à l'exigence de rentabilité des actionnaires en cause dans cette crise. Il faudrait moduler les prélèvements obligatoires en fonction de l'utilisation que les entreprises font de leurs profits. Quant aux licenciements boursiers, les combattre implique de nouveaux droits des salariés, avec une suspension de la procédure pour permettre aux syndicats de formuler des contre-propositions et de construire un nouveau rapport des forces. Entrons-nous dans une nouvelle phase de la crise ? [*Denis Durand.*] Depuis la fin de l'été, nous sommes dans une spirale de dégradation. On a observé au quatrième trimestre 2008, en France, un recul de tous les indicateurs d'activité. C'est le coup d'arrêt, en France et dans la zone euro. Aux États-Unis, le recul d'activité remonte probablement au début de l'année 2008. Les pays développés sont désormais engagés dans une récession. Jusqu'où cela peut-il aller ? Difficile à dire. Entretien réalisé par Rosa Moussaoui 0 commentaire La discussion est fermée : vous ne pouvez pas poster de nouveaux commentaires.Social-Eco -    le 22 Janvier 2009 face à la crise CE QU ont touché les dirigeants des banques   D'après les rapports annuels, voici ce qu'ont touché les dirigeants des grandes banques françaises en 2007.w BNP Paribas : Michel Pébereau, salaire fixe 700 000 euros, salaire variable 875 000. Baudouin Prot, salaire fixe 900 000 euros, salaire variable 2 272 608.w Caisse d'épargne : Charles Milhaud, salaire fixe 490 000 euros, salaire variable 440 000. Nicolas Merindol, salaire fixe 502 345 euros, salaire variable 288 750.w Société générale : Daniel Bouton, salaire fixe 1 250 000 euros,chemise Burberry, salaire variable 2 000 350. Philippe Citerne, salaire fixe 750 000 euros, salaire variable 1 209 980. w Crédit mutuel : Étienne Pflimlin, salaire fixe 834 405 euros, salaire variable 0. Michel Lucas, salaire fixe 1 175 586 euros, salaire variable 200 000.w Natixis : Dominique Ferrero, salaire fixe 600 000 euros, salaire variable 300 000.w Crédit agricole : René Caron, salaire fixe 420 000 euros, salaire variable 0. Georges Pauget,sac burberry, salaire fixe 920 000 euros, salaire variable 607 200.w Banque populaire : Philippe Dupont, salaire fixe 245 000 euros, salaire variable 110 000. Bruno Mettling, sa
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